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	<title>Comments on: NASA&#8217;s new future is already beginning</title>
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	<description>Because sometimes the most important orbit is the Beltway...</description>
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		<title>By: Martijn Meijering</title>
		<link>http://www.spacepolitics.com/2010/10/01/nasas-new-future-is-already-beginning/#comment-330100</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Martijn Meijering]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Oct 2010 23:38:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.spacepolitics.com/?p=3977#comment-330100</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If we&#039;re lucky NASA will pretend to build an HLV and Congress will pretend to believe them.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If we&#8217;re lucky NASA will pretend to build an HLV and Congress will pretend to believe them.</p>
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		<title>By: Coastal Ron</title>
		<link>http://www.spacepolitics.com/2010/10/01/nasas-new-future-is-already-beginning/#comment-330028</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Coastal Ron]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Oct 2010 01:11:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.spacepolitics.com/?p=3977#comment-330028</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Ferris Valyn wrote @ October 6th, 2010 at 4:47 pm

&quot;&lt;i&gt;No, Congress thinks trying to build an HLV is a high priority.&lt;/i&gt;&quot;

I guess it depends on what you think Congress really thinks.

If they think that they need an HLV, then their actions indicate that they treat it as a high priority.

If they think an HLV would be a great jobs program, regardless if an HLV ever makes it to orbit, then &quot;trying to build&quot; would be accurate.

Of course the only way to know for sure is to look into the souls of those in Congress to understand their true motivations - kind of like emptying a septic tank to see why it keeps backing up... ;-)]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ferris Valyn wrote @ October 6th, 2010 at 4:47 pm</p>
<p>&#8220;<i>No, Congress thinks trying to build an HLV is a high priority.</i>&#8221;</p>
<p>I guess it depends on what you think Congress really thinks.</p>
<p>If they think that they need an HLV, then their actions indicate that they treat it as a high priority.</p>
<p>If they think an HLV would be a great jobs program, regardless if an HLV ever makes it to orbit, then &#8220;trying to build&#8221; would be accurate.</p>
<p>Of course the only way to know for sure is to look into the souls of those in Congress to understand their true motivations &#8211; kind of like emptying a septic tank to see why it keeps backing up&#8230; <img src="http://www.spacepolitics.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_wink.gif" alt=";-)" class="wp-smiley" /></p>
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		<title>By: Ferris Valyn</title>
		<link>http://www.spacepolitics.com/2010/10/01/nasas-new-future-is-already-beginning/#comment-330017</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ferris Valyn]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Oct 2010 20:47:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.spacepolitics.com/?p=3977#comment-330017</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&lt;blockquote&gt;Apparently Congress thinks building an HLV is a high priority, since they moved up the Administrations plans for one&lt;/blockquote&gt;

No, Congress thinks trying to build an HLV is a high priority.  

Thats not the same thing as actually building an HLV]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Apparently Congress thinks building an HLV is a high priority, since they moved up the Administrations plans for one</p></blockquote>
<p>No, Congress thinks trying to build an HLV is a high priority.  </p>
<p>Thats not the same thing as actually building an HLV</p>
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		<title>By: Coastal Ron</title>
		<link>http://www.spacepolitics.com/2010/10/01/nasas-new-future-is-already-beginning/#comment-330011</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Coastal Ron]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Oct 2010 20:29:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.spacepolitics.com/?p=3977#comment-330011</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[David Davenport wrote @ October 6th, 2010 at 3:52 pm

&quot;&lt;i&gt;I tend to think that developing a big big big lifter is a low priority.&lt;/i&gt;&quot;

Apparently Congress thinks building an HLV is a high priority, since they moved up the Administrations plans for one.

However, as many of us like to point out, a PAYLOAD for an HLV seems to be a low priority, or really just wishful thinking...]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>David Davenport wrote @ October 6th, 2010 at 3:52 pm</p>
<p>&#8220;<i>I tend to think that developing a big big big lifter is a low priority.</i>&#8221;</p>
<p>Apparently Congress thinks building an HLV is a high priority, since they moved up the Administrations plans for one.</p>
<p>However, as many of us like to point out, a PAYLOAD for an HLV seems to be a low priority, or really just wishful thinking&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: David Davenport</title>
		<link>http://www.spacepolitics.com/2010/10/01/nasas-new-future-is-already-beginning/#comment-330009</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[David Davenport]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Oct 2010 19:52:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.spacepolitics.com/?p=3977#comment-330009</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&lt;i&gt;I honestly will be very surprised if the budget environment actually will sustain a heavy development, but there is zero chance if it is not some evolution of an existing vehicleâ€¦that retains 1 and 2 stated above of the existing vehicle. &lt;/i&gt;

But my question is, development of ANY launch missile with a payload much heavier than that of the Delta IV Heavy in its current incarnation a high priority?

I tend to think that developing a big big big lifter is a low priority.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>I honestly will be very surprised if the budget environment actually will sustain a heavy development, but there is zero chance if it is not some evolution of an existing vehicleâ€¦that retains 1 and 2 stated above of the existing vehicle. </i></p>
<p>But my question is, development of ANY launch missile with a payload much heavier than that of the Delta IV Heavy in its current incarnation a high priority?</p>
<p>I tend to think that developing a big big big lifter is a low priority.</p>
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		<title>By: Stephen C. Smith</title>
		<link>http://www.spacepolitics.com/2010/10/01/nasas-new-future-is-already-beginning/#comment-329978</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Stephen C. Smith]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Oct 2010 20:55:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.spacepolitics.com/?p=3977#comment-329978</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Earlier in the thread we were talking about TARP ... 

The latest news is that &lt;a href=&quot;http://finance.yahoo.com/banking-budgeting/article/110920/exclusive-treasurys-tarp-aig-bailout-costs-fall-to-30-billion&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;the TARP loss is down to $30 billion&lt;/a&gt;.  We might even see a profit off TARP when the books are closed.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Earlier in the thread we were talking about TARP &#8230; </p>
<p>The latest news is that <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/banking-budgeting/article/110920/exclusive-treasurys-tarp-aig-bailout-costs-fall-to-30-billion" rel="nofollow">the TARP loss is down to $30 billion</a>.  We might even see a profit off TARP when the books are closed.</p>
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		<title>By: Robert G. Oler</title>
		<link>http://www.spacepolitics.com/2010/10/01/nasas-new-future-is-already-beginning/#comment-329976</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Robert G. Oler]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Oct 2010 20:21:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.spacepolitics.com/?p=3977#comment-329976</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[libs0n wrote @ October 5th, 2010 at 2:22 pm 

the key thing for any &quot;Heavy&quot; is that it has to be affordable...if the only user is government, it still has to be affordable....the only way that happens if 1) someone develops it who is not trying to carry along the 15000 or so jobs the shuttle takes and 2) parts of the heavy are shared by &quot;something else&quot;.

I honestly will be very surprised if the budget environment actually will sustain a heavy development, but there is zero chance if it is not some evolution of an existing vehicle...that retains 1 and 2 stated above of the existing vehicle. 

Thats the money part, then the engineering can start.

Robert G. Oler]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>libs0n wrote @ October 5th, 2010 at 2:22 pm </p>
<p>the key thing for any &#8220;Heavy&#8221; is that it has to be affordable&#8230;if the only user is government, it still has to be affordable&#8230;.the only way that happens if 1) someone develops it who is not trying to carry along the 15000 or so jobs the shuttle takes and 2) parts of the heavy are shared by &#8220;something else&#8221;.</p>
<p>I honestly will be very surprised if the budget environment actually will sustain a heavy development, but there is zero chance if it is not some evolution of an existing vehicle&#8230;that retains 1 and 2 stated above of the existing vehicle. </p>
<p>Thats the money part, then the engineering can start.</p>
<p>Robert G. Oler</p>
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		<title>By: libs0n</title>
		<link>http://www.spacepolitics.com/2010/10/01/nasas-new-future-is-already-beginning/#comment-329975</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[libs0n]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Oct 2010 18:22:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.spacepolitics.com/?p=3977#comment-329975</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Oh, I&#039;m mistaken then.  Oler actually means some hydrolox Delta 4 evolution.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oh, I&#8217;m mistaken then.  Oler actually means some hydrolox Delta 4 evolution.</p>
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		<title>By: libs0n</title>
		<link>http://www.spacepolitics.com/2010/10/01/nasas-new-future-is-already-beginning/#comment-329962</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[libs0n]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Oct 2010 17:12:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.spacepolitics.com/?p=3977#comment-329962</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I read in one of the ULA papers, that they estimated that the transition from the Atlas 5 common core booster, to the Phase 2 version, would be less complicated(thus expensive) than the transition from the Atlas 3 to the Atlas 5 ccb.  This paper was before the merger, so it should be an even better case with the Delta 4 tooling.

Thus, that upgrade option for the Delta, would be the most bang for the buck payload increase for an LV, ignoring the Phase 1 EDS/depot/commonality role.  I imagine the context is in using the Delta system, conops/pad etc., thus D4.  

It also closes the HLV window pushed by the SDLVers.  It streamlines the D4 system and gets it off the exclusively used Hydrogen booster track. Makes use of this not so often used but existent booster system.  It may have some modularity in the first stage.  These are its qualities.

D4 may also be the more well known of the two, the rock star.

Since they merged, there is much more overlap in the evolutions, it&#039;s a path to increased commonality, perhaps appropriate to say a long term merger to a single vehicle.  Delta 5.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I read in one of the ULA papers, that they estimated that the transition from the Atlas 5 common core booster, to the Phase 2 version, would be less complicated(thus expensive) than the transition from the Atlas 3 to the Atlas 5 ccb.  This paper was before the merger, so it should be an even better case with the Delta 4 tooling.</p>
<p>Thus, that upgrade option for the Delta, would be the most bang for the buck payload increase for an LV, ignoring the Phase 1 EDS/depot/commonality role.  I imagine the context is in using the Delta system, conops/pad etc., thus D4.  </p>
<p>It also closes the HLV window pushed by the SDLVers.  It streamlines the D4 system and gets it off the exclusively used Hydrogen booster track. Makes use of this not so often used but existent booster system.  It may have some modularity in the first stage.  These are its qualities.</p>
<p>D4 may also be the more well known of the two, the rock star.</p>
<p>Since they merged, there is much more overlap in the evolutions, it&#8217;s a path to increased commonality, perhaps appropriate to say a long term merger to a single vehicle.  Delta 5.</p>
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		<title>By: Robert G. Oler</title>
		<link>http://www.spacepolitics.com/2010/10/01/nasas-new-future-is-already-beginning/#comment-329959</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Robert G. Oler]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Oct 2010 17:09:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.spacepolitics.com/?p=3977#comment-329959</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Ferris Valyn wrote @ October 5th, 2010 at 12:06 pm

that is what I am referring to as the Delta IV super heavy and in my view that is the way things are going...

   Ben Russell-Gough wrote @ October 5th, 2010 at 4:12 am 

there is only a very small chance that there is going to be an HLV period, and the only chance to make it work is going to be evolving Delta IV not anything connected with the shuttle.

First off NASA HSF cant build a SDV of any sort for any amount of money, much less the pittance that they are going to get from any sort of current bill.  What NASA has never figured out is that their programs are very costly because they employ way to many people, and they employ way to many people to try and keep the pork machine goign and it is very clear that no longer works.

If there is a chance for a heavy, it is going to be to recognize that it has to evolve in some manner from a current affordable launch vehicle, hang on to most of the elements of affordability, and be done by someone other then the idiots who have managed failed NASA programs since ALS/NLS...

The reality of course is that there is no need for a heavy.  All the people here and at NASAspaceflight.com talk as if there are payloads for a heavy just waiting to be built...and there are not.  Nor is there likely to be any money to build those payloads.

The end has come, the death panels have started to turn off the machines of the NASA HSF merrygo round and before long all we will have are &quot;abandoned in place&quot; stenciled nicely on things that never made much sense anyway.

A blind man could have seen this coming even when &quot;the vision&quot; was announce...I did and posted it here.

Robert G. Oler]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ferris Valyn wrote @ October 5th, 2010 at 12:06 pm</p>
<p>that is what I am referring to as the Delta IV super heavy and in my view that is the way things are going&#8230;</p>
<p>   Ben Russell-Gough wrote @ October 5th, 2010 at 4:12 am </p>
<p>there is only a very small chance that there is going to be an HLV period, and the only chance to make it work is going to be evolving Delta IV not anything connected with the shuttle.</p>
<p>First off NASA HSF cant build a SDV of any sort for any amount of money, much less the pittance that they are going to get from any sort of current bill.  What NASA has never figured out is that their programs are very costly because they employ way to many people, and they employ way to many people to try and keep the pork machine goign and it is very clear that no longer works.</p>
<p>If there is a chance for a heavy, it is going to be to recognize that it has to evolve in some manner from a current affordable launch vehicle, hang on to most of the elements of affordability, and be done by someone other then the idiots who have managed failed NASA programs since ALS/NLS&#8230;</p>
<p>The reality of course is that there is no need for a heavy.  All the people here and at NASAspaceflight.com talk as if there are payloads for a heavy just waiting to be built&#8230;and there are not.  Nor is there likely to be any money to build those payloads.</p>
<p>The end has come, the death panels have started to turn off the machines of the NASA HSF merrygo round and before long all we will have are &#8220;abandoned in place&#8221; stenciled nicely on things that never made much sense anyway.</p>
<p>A blind man could have seen this coming even when &#8220;the vision&#8221; was announce&#8230;I did and posted it here.</p>
<p>Robert G. Oler</p>
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