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	<title>Comments on: NASA emphasizes near-term exploration systems progress, but long-term questions remain</title>
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	<link>http://www.spacepolitics.com/2014/06/12/nasa-emphasizes-near-term-exploration-systems-progress-but-long-term-questions-remain/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=nasa-emphasizes-near-term-exploration-systems-progress-but-long-term-questions-remain</link>
	<description>Because sometimes the most important orbit is the Beltway...</description>
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		<title>By: Dick Eagleson</title>
		<link>http://www.spacepolitics.com/2014/06/12/nasa-emphasizes-near-term-exploration-systems-progress-but-long-term-questions-remain/#comment-489378</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dick Eagleson]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Jun 2014 09:49:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.spacepolitics.com/?p=7175#comment-489378</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[You really need to work on reading comprehension. I didn&#039;t say anything about &lt;i&gt;engineering&lt;/i&gt; problems - though, in fairness, Ares I, in particular, had them in spades - I said the insuperable problems were &lt;i&gt;fiscal&lt;/i&gt; and &lt;i&gt;managerial.&lt;/i&gt;  Constellation was unaffordable as a sole-source, cost-plus project developed in the usual NASA way.  And one of the usual NASA ways was to keep slipping the schedule as the budget limitations bit.  At the time it was cancelled, Constellation&#039;s nominal finish date was moving backward so fast it was actually getting further away by the day.  We were never going back to the Moon with the thing because we&#039;d never be able to build and operate it.  You talk about Constellation like its some exotic car you had your eye on to race at Le Mans, except your budget is only good for a stripped-down Chevy with no spare tire.  You&#039;re living in Fantasyland, prating about missions we couldn&#039;t afford to undertake.

The same is true of SLS and Orion now.  There&#039;s no money for mission hardware, the Block II phase of the project has been abandoned to keep the near-worthless first phase barely going and schedules continue to slip.  The whole program is just a scam to squeeze a few more billion into the pockets of the Marshall Space Flight Center, Boeing and LockMart before the thing grinds to its inevitable halt.  NASA hasn&#039;t finished anything it has started since Shuttle and ISS.  SLS is &lt;i&gt;not&lt;/i&gt; going to be an exception.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You really need to work on reading comprehension. I didn&#8217;t say anything about <i>engineering</i> problems &#8211; though, in fairness, Ares I, in particular, had them in spades &#8211; I said the insuperable problems were <i>fiscal</i> and <i>managerial.</i>  Constellation was unaffordable as a sole-source, cost-plus project developed in the usual NASA way.  And one of the usual NASA ways was to keep slipping the schedule as the budget limitations bit.  At the time it was cancelled, Constellation&#8217;s nominal finish date was moving backward so fast it was actually getting further away by the day.  We were never going back to the Moon with the thing because we&#8217;d never be able to build and operate it.  You talk about Constellation like its some exotic car you had your eye on to race at Le Mans, except your budget is only good for a stripped-down Chevy with no spare tire.  You&#8217;re living in Fantasyland, prating about missions we couldn&#8217;t afford to undertake.</p>
<p>The same is true of SLS and Orion now.  There&#8217;s no money for mission hardware, the Block II phase of the project has been abandoned to keep the near-worthless first phase barely going and schedules continue to slip.  The whole program is just a scam to squeeze a few more billion into the pockets of the Marshall Space Flight Center, Boeing and LockMart before the thing grinds to its inevitable halt.  NASA hasn&#8217;t finished anything it has started since Shuttle and ISS.  SLS is <i>not</i> going to be an exception.</p>
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		<title>By: Chris Castro</title>
		<link>http://www.spacepolitics.com/2014/06/12/nasa-emphasizes-near-term-exploration-systems-progress-but-long-term-questions-remain/#comment-489227</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Chris Castro]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Jun 2014 12:15:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.spacepolitics.com/?p=7175#comment-489227</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&quot;Constellation was cancelled for two reasons.....&quot;

I totally disagree. The engineering difficulties were fully overcome-able. Again, if Ares 1, had proved to be a weak chain link------and this was NOT a certainty, as some degree of patience with working thru the issues, would&#039;ve made a difference-------then the Orion&#039;s launcher could have been changed to another such smaller rocket.

      Building a lander for reaching the Moon&#039;s surface, would&#039;ve taken another healthy dose of that patience thing, but would ultimately have put together a viable vehicle, which could have exceeded the capabilities of the old Apollo LEM. The mission elements could&#039;ve been constucted in phases. First to come would&#039;ve been the Orion capsule &amp; its accompanying launch rocket, whether an Ares 1 or something else.

      The giant heavy-lift rocket, the Ares 5, was to have been built concurrently with the designated lunar payloads it was to launch up: the Altair L-SAM, &amp; the earth escape stage. If that portion of the plan would have had to wait somewhat longer to&#039;ve come into service; say after 2020, then so it would&#039;ve been-----------NASA still would accomplish reaching the Moon, in this century, sometime in the 2020&#039;s.

        Of course the ISS and any further space telescopes would&#039;ve been sacrificed in this process. But that would&#039;ve been fine: far more superior telescopes could eventually be built on the Moon&#039;s far-side, and we&#039;d have exchanged a zero gravity training environment for a one-sixth-of-earth-gravity one. Furthermore, do you really think that the future project for a manned expedition to Mars will turn out to be any easier to do than Constellation would have been??]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Constellation was cancelled for two reasons&#8230;..&#8221;</p>
<p>I totally disagree. The engineering difficulties were fully overcome-able. Again, if Ares 1, had proved to be a weak chain link&#8212;&#8212;and this was NOT a certainty, as some degree of patience with working thru the issues, would&#8217;ve made a difference&#8212;&#8212;-then the Orion&#8217;s launcher could have been changed to another such smaller rocket.</p>
<p>      Building a lander for reaching the Moon&#8217;s surface, would&#8217;ve taken another healthy dose of that patience thing, but would ultimately have put together a viable vehicle, which could have exceeded the capabilities of the old Apollo LEM. The mission elements could&#8217;ve been constucted in phases. First to come would&#8217;ve been the Orion capsule &amp; its accompanying launch rocket, whether an Ares 1 or something else.</p>
<p>      The giant heavy-lift rocket, the Ares 5, was to have been built concurrently with the designated lunar payloads it was to launch up: the Altair L-SAM, &amp; the earth escape stage. If that portion of the plan would have had to wait somewhat longer to&#8217;ve come into service; say after 2020, then so it would&#8217;ve been&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;NASA still would accomplish reaching the Moon, in this century, sometime in the 2020&#8217;s.</p>
<p>        Of course the ISS and any further space telescopes would&#8217;ve been sacrificed in this process. But that would&#8217;ve been fine: far more superior telescopes could eventually be built on the Moon&#8217;s far-side, and we&#8217;d have exchanged a zero gravity training environment for a one-sixth-of-earth-gravity one. Furthermore, do you really think that the future project for a manned expedition to Mars will turn out to be any easier to do than Constellation would have been??</p>
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		<title>By: Dick Eagleson</title>
		<link>http://www.spacepolitics.com/2014/06/12/nasa-emphasizes-near-term-exploration-systems-progress-but-long-term-questions-remain/#comment-488942</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dick Eagleson]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Jun 2014 17:48:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.spacepolitics.com/?p=7175#comment-488942</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Constellation was cancelled for two reasons:

1. It was a James Webb Space Telescope-class budget buster and its budget was already an order of magnitude greater than the JWST.  The JWST itself has eaten NASA out of house and home by not being cancelled years ago.  Constellation was going to take NASA entirely down if it had continued.  First, it would have consumed every other NASA program, then it would have starved when there was nothing more to feed it.  The only alternative histories in which Constellation was completed and launched anything also have unicorns and flying cars in them.

2. It was a James Webb Space Telescope-class schedule buster.  At the time it was cancelled, it was slipping its schedule by more than a year per year.

You need to acknowledge fiscal reality.  Constellation had bad genes.  It was never going to live long enough to grow up.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Constellation was cancelled for two reasons:</p>
<p>1. It was a James Webb Space Telescope-class budget buster and its budget was already an order of magnitude greater than the JWST.  The JWST itself has eaten NASA out of house and home by not being cancelled years ago.  Constellation was going to take NASA entirely down if it had continued.  First, it would have consumed every other NASA program, then it would have starved when there was nothing more to feed it.  The only alternative histories in which Constellation was completed and launched anything also have unicorns and flying cars in them.</p>
<p>2. It was a James Webb Space Telescope-class schedule buster.  At the time it was cancelled, it was slipping its schedule by more than a year per year.</p>
<p>You need to acknowledge fiscal reality.  Constellation had bad genes.  It was never going to live long enough to grow up.</p>
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		<title>By: Chris Castro</title>
		<link>http://www.spacepolitics.com/2014/06/12/nasa-emphasizes-near-term-exploration-systems-progress-but-long-term-questions-remain/#comment-488844</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Chris Castro]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Jun 2014 03:36:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.spacepolitics.com/?p=7175#comment-488844</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[@Rick Boozer;....... Heavy Lift is definitely going to be needed, but SLS probably  won&#039;t be up to the task. I suspect that it might not be strong enough, for launching a viable &amp; more-capable-than-the-Apollo type of lunar lander. But some engineering analysis would be needed to figure it out. Maybe a small Apollo-sized one might be fittable atop of the SLS, and could be sent to Low Lunar Orbit ahead of a later-sent rendezvousing crew, on Orion. [Both the lander AND the Orion orbiter would need to be capable of decelerating themselves into LLO individually.] 

        In any event, this &quot;Golden Spike&quot; type of approach, to the flight plan, with a two spacecraft LLO rendezvous, might become the fallback plan, if we can&#039;t get a more powerful Heavy-Lift rocket. So consider the ramifications of Project Constellation&#039;s cancellation, and our lack of an Ares 5. Not to mention all of the valuable years, perhaps a full decade worth of time, that NASA will&#039;ve wasted building a weaker Heavy-Lift rocket simply to go meteor-rock chasing in high lunar orbit. Who knows when a Lunar-friendly administration will finally come in? Whatever &quot;Golden Spike&quot; type of small-sized lander that we eventually build, will have to serve the double eventual duty of a cargo-only version lander----------which minus the ascent engine need, would be used for an eventual base-module/base equipment lander vehicle.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Rick Boozer;&#8230;&#8230;. Heavy Lift is definitely going to be needed, but SLS probably  won&#8217;t be up to the task. I suspect that it might not be strong enough, for launching a viable &amp; more-capable-than-the-Apollo type of lunar lander. But some engineering analysis would be needed to figure it out. Maybe a small Apollo-sized one might be fittable atop of the SLS, and could be sent to Low Lunar Orbit ahead of a later-sent rendezvousing crew, on Orion. [Both the lander AND the Orion orbiter would need to be capable of decelerating themselves into LLO individually.] </p>
<p>        In any event, this &#8220;Golden Spike&#8221; type of approach, to the flight plan, with a two spacecraft LLO rendezvous, might become the fallback plan, if we can&#8217;t get a more powerful Heavy-Lift rocket. So consider the ramifications of Project Constellation&#8217;s cancellation, and our lack of an Ares 5. Not to mention all of the valuable years, perhaps a full decade worth of time, that NASA will&#8217;ve wasted building a weaker Heavy-Lift rocket simply to go meteor-rock chasing in high lunar orbit. Who knows when a Lunar-friendly administration will finally come in? Whatever &#8220;Golden Spike&#8221; type of small-sized lander that we eventually build, will have to serve the double eventual duty of a cargo-only version lander&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;-which minus the ascent engine need, would be used for an eventual base-module/base equipment lander vehicle.</p>
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		<title>By: Dick Eagleson</title>
		<link>http://www.spacepolitics.com/2014/06/12/nasa-emphasizes-near-term-exploration-systems-progress-but-long-term-questions-remain/#comment-488823</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dick Eagleson]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Jun 2014 00:33:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.spacepolitics.com/?p=7175#comment-488823</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Your scenario fails the fiscal smoke test.  Keeping the Shuttle in service at a reduced flight rate would have cost even more than the Danegeld we wound up paying to the Russians.  It would have raised the cost of each mission and - NASA&#039;s budget being what it was - either ISS or Constellation would have had to die to keep feeding it instead of Shuttle dying to feed ISS and Constellation as actually happened.

If ISS died, then the whole rationale for keeping Shuttle flying would have died with it.  So it would have had to be Constellation.  In other words, Constellation was a dead man walking pretty much no matter whatever else was decided.  The &quot;reckless and pompous men&quot; who foisted the unaffordable Constellation on us in the first place are the ones who also doomed it.  You need to get your nose out of NASA&#039;s backside and look around at the real world for a change.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Your scenario fails the fiscal smoke test.  Keeping the Shuttle in service at a reduced flight rate would have cost even more than the Danegeld we wound up paying to the Russians.  It would have raised the cost of each mission and &#8211; NASA&#8217;s budget being what it was &#8211; either ISS or Constellation would have had to die to keep feeding it instead of Shuttle dying to feed ISS and Constellation as actually happened.</p>
<p>If ISS died, then the whole rationale for keeping Shuttle flying would have died with it.  So it would have had to be Constellation.  In other words, Constellation was a dead man walking pretty much no matter whatever else was decided.  The &#8220;reckless and pompous men&#8221; who foisted the unaffordable Constellation on us in the first place are the ones who also doomed it.  You need to get your nose out of NASA&#8217;s backside and look around at the real world for a change.</p>
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		<title>By: Robert G. Oler</title>
		<link>http://www.spacepolitics.com/2014/06/12/nasa-emphasizes-near-term-exploration-systems-progress-but-long-term-questions-remain/#comment-488756</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Robert G. Oler]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Jun 2014 16:02:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.spacepolitics.com/?p=7175#comment-488756</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There is no doubt NASA could come up with a plan, but hte politicians must sell it to the people.  there is zero support for those plans (well some, in the space pork districts)  RGO]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There is no doubt NASA could come up with a plan, but hte politicians must sell it to the people.  there is zero support for those plans (well some, in the space pork districts)  RGO</p>
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		<title>By: Chris Castro</title>
		<link>http://www.spacepolitics.com/2014/06/12/nasa-emphasizes-near-term-exploration-systems-progress-but-long-term-questions-remain/#comment-488732</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Chris Castro]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Jun 2014 13:32:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.spacepolitics.com/?p=7175#comment-488732</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[@Brian M.;.......I agree with your assertion, in both of your above comments, that the Shuttle could very well have continued flying for a few years longer, under a reduced flight rate. This would have been a terrific interim solution to much of the bad issues NASA has been having lately.  


         Sure, the Space Shuttle could never&#039;ve gone on for much longer than this decade. But think about it: even stretching out the STS manifest to five years longer than it was, say till 2016, would&#039;ve avoided the long &amp; exasperating dependency on Russia in sending our crews to the ISS. Resupply to it, could&#039;ve continued to&#039;ve been as frequently as was needed for doing the crew turn-arounds. [Either every six months, or anything between that and one full year.] 
 
        Indeed this continuation could&#039;ve shortened or even eliminated the United States&#039;s human spaceflight gap, until a new capsule vehicle came into service. The associated rocketry for the designated new crew vehicle, was clearly going to be Shuttle-derived, hence, keeping the industrial production lines open would&#039;ve made a beneficial difference, in the construction of what came next.
 
        NASA is now running around the farm, like a cadre of decapitated chickens, without a clue as to what exactly is going to happen! I&#039;m NO Space Shuttle enthusiast, mind you! But extending the Shuttle would have been the smart &amp; tactical thing to do, under the execrable conditions that the American space program found itself in, after  Project Constellation had been exterminated by the reckless &amp; pompous men in power, in 2010!]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Brian M.;&#8230;&#8230;.I agree with your assertion, in both of your above comments, that the Shuttle could very well have continued flying for a few years longer, under a reduced flight rate. This would have been a terrific interim solution to much of the bad issues NASA has been having lately.  </p>
<p>         Sure, the Space Shuttle could never&#8217;ve gone on for much longer than this decade. But think about it: even stretching out the STS manifest to five years longer than it was, say till 2016, would&#8217;ve avoided the long &amp; exasperating dependency on Russia in sending our crews to the ISS. Resupply to it, could&#8217;ve continued to&#8217;ve been as frequently as was needed for doing the crew turn-arounds. [Either every six months, or anything between that and one full year.] </p>
<p>        Indeed this continuation could&#8217;ve shortened or even eliminated the United States&#8217;s human spaceflight gap, until a new capsule vehicle came into service. The associated rocketry for the designated new crew vehicle, was clearly going to be Shuttle-derived, hence, keeping the industrial production lines open would&#8217;ve made a beneficial difference, in the construction of what came next.</p>
<p>        NASA is now running around the farm, like a cadre of decapitated chickens, without a clue as to what exactly is going to happen! I&#8217;m NO Space Shuttle enthusiast, mind you! But extending the Shuttle would have been the smart &amp; tactical thing to do, under the execrable conditions that the American space program found itself in, after  Project Constellation had been exterminated by the reckless &amp; pompous men in power, in 2010!</p>
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		<title>By: Hiram</title>
		<link>http://www.spacepolitics.com/2014/06/12/nasa-emphasizes-near-term-exploration-systems-progress-but-long-term-questions-remain/#comment-488682</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Hiram]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Jun 2014 03:46:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.spacepolitics.com/?p=7175#comment-488682</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&quot;That was NASAâ€™s idea.&quot;

Of course it was NASA&#039;s idea. It was an idea that was created to serve the need expressed by the Administration. The idea was an act of implementation. This Administration, nor Congress for that matter, has given NASA a real national need that they are now charged with fulfilling. 

As to Constellation, that&#039;s exactly right that there was no strategy that made sense. The Administration and Congress looked at Constellation carefully, and the budget it required, and said &quot;Uh, why?&quot; There was no reason why.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;That was NASAâ€™s idea.&#8221;</p>
<p>Of course it was NASA&#8217;s idea. It was an idea that was created to serve the need expressed by the Administration. The idea was an act of implementation. This Administration, nor Congress for that matter, has given NASA a real national need that they are now charged with fulfilling. </p>
<p>As to Constellation, that&#8217;s exactly right that there was no strategy that made sense. The Administration and Congress looked at Constellation carefully, and the budget it required, and said &#8220;Uh, why?&#8221; There was no reason why.</p>
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		<title>By: Pathfinder_01</title>
		<link>http://www.spacepolitics.com/2014/06/12/nasa-emphasizes-near-term-exploration-systems-progress-but-long-term-questions-remain/#comment-488675</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Pathfinder_01]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Jun 2014 01:28:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.spacepolitics.com/?p=7175#comment-488675</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The problem is NASA has nothing really to offer to the DOD. The shuttle was going to be used for DOD missions but after the shuttle proved both expensive and unreliable(delays) that kinda ended it. I can&#039;t think what NASA could offer Commerce in an age where launch services are purchased from private companies.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The problem is NASA has nothing really to offer to the DOD. The shuttle was going to be used for DOD missions but after the shuttle proved both expensive and unreliable(delays) that kinda ended it. I can&#8217;t think what NASA could offer Commerce in an age where launch services are purchased from private companies.</p>
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		<title>By: Dick Eagleson</title>
		<link>http://www.spacepolitics.com/2014/06/12/nasa-emphasizes-near-term-exploration-systems-progress-but-long-term-questions-remain/#comment-488662</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dick Eagleson]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Jun 2014 23:09:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.spacepolitics.com/?p=7175#comment-488662</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There&#039;s no lander, Chris, because SLS, as we opponents keep trying to point out, isn&#039;t really a space program, it&#039;s a pork program.  The fact it will never launch anything, because it consumes all of the available budget leaving none for payload elements, is a matter of sublime unconcern to the members of Congress who invented and mandated this thing.  They want to provide subsidized employment for their constituents.  The fact that nothing real ever gets accomplished is simply irrelevant.

The Ares 5 is dead because it was spending even more and taking even longer than SLS.  You need to accept the fact that NASA heavy-lifters are a disastrous and unsustainable dead end.  You can go to the Moon or you can keep pouring billions into NASA-designed BFR&#039;s - you can&#039;t do both.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There&#8217;s no lander, Chris, because SLS, as we opponents keep trying to point out, isn&#8217;t really a space program, it&#8217;s a pork program.  The fact it will never launch anything, because it consumes all of the available budget leaving none for payload elements, is a matter of sublime unconcern to the members of Congress who invented and mandated this thing.  They want to provide subsidized employment for their constituents.  The fact that nothing real ever gets accomplished is simply irrelevant.</p>
<p>The Ares 5 is dead because it was spending even more and taking even longer than SLS.  You need to accept the fact that NASA heavy-lifters are a disastrous and unsustainable dead end.  You can go to the Moon or you can keep pouring billions into NASA-designed BFR&#8217;s &#8211; you can&#8217;t do both.</p>
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