By Jeff Foust on 2008 August 13 at 9:51 am ET Early this month the Orlando Sentinel reported that a planned extension of NASA’s exemption of the Iran, North Korea and Syria Nonproliferation Act (INKSNA) was in jeopardy in Congress. The current exemption, which allows NASA to buy Progress and Soyuz flight services from Russia, expires in 2011; NASA sought an extension for Soyuz flights only, planning on utilizing commercial services and/or international partners for cargo. However, at the time the paper reported that “election-year politics and growing concerns about Iran” made it difficult to get members of Congress to back such an extension.
Now the situation is more serious, after hostilities broke out last week between Georgia and Russia (and appear to be still taking place now, according to latest reports, despite the announcement of a ceasefire earlier this week.) While the earlier Congressional concerns were about Iran, now the concerns are about Russia’s actions, according to Sen. Bill Nelson. “It was a tough sell before, but it was doable simply because we didn’t have a choice,” Nelson told Florida Today. “It’s going to be a tougher sell now unless there are critical developments during the next 48 to 72 hours.”
That view is shared by others on the Hill. The Sentinel reports today that a “senior House Republican staffer” told the paper that the extension “dead on arrival. Nobody thinks it’s going to happen, and the reality is there is no backup plan for the space station.” The future of US crew access to the ISS is looking much worse today than just a few weeks—or even a few days—ago.
By Jeff Foust on 2008 August 12 at 10:01 am ET The Mars Society is hosting its annual convention later this week in Boulder, Colorado, and one of the highlights of the event is going to be a debate on the space policies of the presidential candidates, similar to the one held during the ISDC in Washington in late May. Representing the Obama campaign will be Lori Garver, who represented the Hillary Clinton campaign in the ISDC debate (which took place about a week before Clinton formally dropped out of the race). Representing the McCain campaign will be a familiar name to space aficionados: Apollo 7 astronaut Walt Cunningham. “This will be a perfect opportunity for the campaigns to articulate their policies,” said Mars Society executive director Chris Carberry. Or, perhaps explain some of the details of their policies, including how they plan to “close” or “minimize” the Shuttle-Constellation gap now that NASA has slipped its internal target for the first crewed Orion mission by a year and indicated there was little chance of shortening the gap.
By Jeff Foust on 2008 August 11 at 11:58 am ET I discovered while doing some research late last night that the campaign of Republican presidential candidate John McCain has issued a far more detailed space policy statement. This document replaces the one the campaign issued in January, just before the Florida primary. While the original document was only one paragraph long and made only vague statements of “strong support” for NASA and the exploration program, the new document runs for eight paragraphs, plus a set of bullet points, and goes into much greater detail about McCain’s perspectives on space policy and what he would do if elected. There’s no date on the document, so it’s not clear when it was first published, but it appears to be quite recent (at the very least, it has gotten little play in the media or online discussion.)
To start off, here are the bullet points at the end that describe what McCain would do if elected:
- Ensure that space exploration is top priority and that the U.S. remains a leader;
- Commit to funding the NASA Constellation program to ensure it has the resources it needs to begin a new era of human space exploration.
- Review and explore all options to ensure U.S. access to space by minimizing the gap between the termination of the Space Shuttle and the availability of its replacement vehicle;
- Ensure the national space workforce is maintained and fully utilized; Complete construction of the ISS National Laboratory;
- Seek to maximize the research capability and commercialization possibilities of the ISS National Laboratory;
- Maintain infrastructure investments in Earth-monitoring satellites and support systems;
- Seek to maintain the nation’s space infrastructure;
- Prevent wasteful earmarks from diverting precious resources from critical scientific research;
- and Ensure adequate investments in aeronautics research.
There are, like in Obama’s statements, a lot of unaddressed issues here. How would a President McCain minimize the gap, and how much would he be willing to spend (particularly since he has talked about a one-year freeze on discretionary non-defense spending)? What does “main the nation’s space infrastructure” mean, in terms of companies, launch facilities, jobs, etc.? How much aeronautics investment is “adequate” given the sharp declines NASA’s aeronautics programs have suffered?
A lot of the body of the text provides some background to the policy, including his desire to continue to maintain a human spaceflight program. He cites a 1971 memo from Caspar Weinberger, then deputy director of OMB, who warned that ending human spaceflight would be a sign of turning inwards and “voluntarily starting to give up our super-power status”. (See this article from The Space Review that talks about this particular memo.) “Three and a half decades later this seems equally valid, if not more so given the increased number of countries that are making significant investments in space,” the McCain statement reads.
What’s interesting is that, in some respects, the McCain space policy is now not so much different than the Obama policy on a number of issues. Both talk about minimizing or closing the gap, both mention leveraging the capabilities of the commercial sector, and both express their support for earth sciences and aeronautics research. (McCain, unlike Obama, has spoken out more strongly in favor of human exploration of the Moon and beyond.) Interestingly, while Obama has mentioned on a number of previous occasions that NASA’s current missions are not “inspirational”, McCain says something similar in his statement: “The end of the Cold War and the space race has greatly reduced the profile of space exploration as a point of national pride and an emblem of U.S. power and thus created some degree of ‘mission-rut’ for NASA.” “Mission-rut” doesn’t sound very, well, inspirational.
By Jeff Foust on 2008 August 11 at 11:31 am ET A few recent items of note about space and the presidential campaigns:
In today’s issue of The Space Review, I examine the recent statements on space policy made by Democratic candidate Barack Obama regarding Constellation and other issues. This is an expansion of a post on the issue I made a week ago immediately after his speech: that while it seemd like a dramatic shift, it was more of a reconciliation of past inconsistent statements he made on the issue, and leaving open a lot of unanswered questions.
Also in The Space Review, Ferris Valyn takes up one point from Obama’s speech: his call for re-establishing the National Aeronautics and Space Council. Valyn believes that a new space council could be in the right position to tackle any number of space-related issues, from ITAR to CATS, and that “Obama’s history as a community organizer lends itself to consensus building” that would be enabled by a council, hence his call for re-creating it. Just how much power and influence such a council would have, though, will go a long ways towards determining how effective it would be, though.
Meanwhile, the Orlando Sentinel reports that the Obama campaign—but not the senator himself—is coming back to the Space Coast for a meeting Tuesday with the region’s Economic Development Commission (EDC) to talk about space issues and their effect on the area economy. Attending on behalf of the campaign with be its Florida policy director, Ian Bassin. The report adds that the EDC is trying to arrange a similar meeting with the campaign of Republican John McCain. “So far there has been no official response from the campaign to the invitation for a similar meeting though some campaign staff said that McCain was keen to meet Florida space experts in person soon.”
By Jeff Foust on 2008 August 11 at 11:18 am ET It should be no surprise to anyone that former House speaker Newt Gingrich is a big fan of prizes for a variety of applications, including space. In an op-ed in Monday’s Wall Street Journal, Gingrich uses prizes as a way to answer a question posed by the paper: “How would you spend $10 billion of American resources (either directly or through regulation) over the next four years to help improve the state of the world?”
Gingrich allocated the $10 billion in seven prizes, three for $2 billion each and the other four for $1 billion each. Two of the $1-billion prizes are focused on space: “A reusable system that could get people into space at 10% of the current cost, thus enabling genuine space tourism and launching an age of exploration” and “The first privately financed permanent lunar base”. The question is, though, whether either would be claimed in four years (as the Journal stipulated in its original question.)
By Jeff Foust on 2008 August 10 at 2:08 pm ET The Democratic party has completed work on its party platform for 2008, which will be adopted at the convention in Denver later this month. The text of the platform hasn’t been released yet (at least officially on the party’s web site) but a near-final draft was published by The Atlantic.com late Thursday. And, at least this draft does mention space in passing, as part of a single sentence on page 16 (page 19 of the PDF document linked to in the post):
We will double federal funding for basic research, invest in a strong and inspirational vision for space exploration and make the Research and Development Tax Credit permanent.
That doesn’t say much at all, other than the party felt it was worth it to include a passing mention of space in the platform: the 2004 version makes no mention of space policy at all.
By Jeff Foust on 2008 August 6 at 9:07 pm ET Is there a “potential fracture in the Democratic party over space”? That’s the claim of a piece published last week by the newspaper chain Examiner.com by Patricia Phillips, a “former NASA information officer”. One one side, she claims, are people like Sen. Bill Nelson, who she perceives as strong supporters of NASA, and on the other presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama, “who’s widely regarded as anti-space, despite this weeks’s Google spin.” (Google spin?) She argues a clash at the convention is possible. “Denver could bring sparks as Democratic leaders try to hammer in the planks of a party platform… That could be one of the major fights of the upcoming Democratic National Convention.”
First of all, it’s difficult to see space as an issue of such importance to trigger a fight, major or otherwise, at the convention. As one person put it at the NewSpace conference here last month, space is a “third-tier” issue for the presidential candidates in general, and even in battleground states like Florida and Virginia are, at best, second-tier issues.
Then’s there’s the fact that Obama and Nelson aren’t necessarily on opposite sides of the issue, particularly as Obama has adjusted his stance on topics like Constellation in recent months, something Nelson acknowledged in a speech in May. And, of course, there was Nelson introducing Obama at Saturday’s rally in Titusville, with Obama saying that he would be working with Nelson on issues like adding another shuttle flight post-2010.
That would seem to be enough to put to rest any claims of a “potential fracture” on the issue in Denver, yet Phillips writes in follow-up post after Obama’s speech that “rumors of a Democratic party split over space are gaining velocity.” (Maybe they were propelled by all those rumors about Mars life that turned out to be unfounded.) Moreover, if you scroll down, you see she responds to Obama’s proposal to re-create the National Aeronautics and Space Council with this rejoinder: “Re-invent NACA, Senator? The National Advisory Committee for Aeronautics was NASA’s ancestor, and morphed into NASA in 1958.” NACA, of course, is nothing like the space council (although there are some folks out there who would support creating a NACA-like organization devoted to R&D on space transportation.) You’d think someone who once worked at NASA would know the difference.
By Jeff Foust on 2008 August 6 at 8:43 pm ET When President Bush met with South Korean President Lee Myung-Bak this week, the main issues on the table had to deal with topics like free trade and North Korea. But the two also reached an agreement about cooperation in space. The official White House statement is short on details, saying only that the two countries pledged to “promote close cooperation in the fields of civil space exploration”, but Lee offered a little more detail in a joint press conference with Bush:
President Bush and I agreed to further expand our cooperation in the area of space science and aeronautics by promoting joint space exploration, development of scientific research satellites, and Korea’s participation in NASA’s International Lunar Network Project.
The last item was actually announced last week in a NASA press release about the International Lunar Network, suggesting that South Korea will either provide one or more robotic lunar landers, or otherwise contribute those missions. What else is involved in “promoting joint space exploration” and the “development of scientific research satellites”. isn’t clear.
By Jeff Foust on 2008 August 6 at 8:00 am ET A heads up: Charles Miller and I will be guests on The Space Show today at 5 pm EDT to talk about the series of articles we’ve authored on The Space Review about Cheap and reliable Access To Space (CATS, or CRATS, or CARATS, or whatever), the National Coalition for CATS announced last month, and plans for a national summit on the issue in Ohio in October. (The show was accidentally omitted from the weekly Space Show newsletter earlier this week; this show had actually been planned some weeks in advance.)
By Jeff Foust on 2008 August 3 at 8:23 pm ET While Barack Obama’s speech in Titusville, Florida was big news there, and in the close-knit space community, outside of it the speech was ho-hum. The Washington Post published an article Sunday with a Titusville dateline but only wrote that Obama “talked of protecting Social Security, funding space and ocean research, dealing with the threat posed by climate change and getting a home-cooked meal.” Other major papers, from the New York Times to the Wall Street Journal, published nothing about the speech, although both the Times and the Journal mentioned it in passing in blog posts.. CNN.com reported on a press conference Obama held in Cape Canaveral Saturday morning but focused on offshore drilling (another example of energy trumping space?). FoxNews.com did devote a blog post to the issue, alongside John McCain’s meeting with a Puerto Rican reggaeton star.
But then, the campaigns aren’t paying a lot of attention to the issue, either. Obama’s Titusville speech is, as of Sunday evening, not yet posted in the speeches section of the campaign web site, although there is a blog post about the speech, including a YouTube clip of the relevant section, online. The McCain campaign finally posted its press release reacting to the speech by late Sunday, a day after its release.
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