Better late than never

According to a report in a California newspaper, the California State Assembly has approved a resolution congratulating the SpaceShipOne team for winning the Ansari X Prize and opening the door for space tourism. Of course, this is six months after SpaceShipOne made its X Prize-winning flight; by comparison, the US House of Representatives passed a similar resolution just days after the October 4, 2004 flight.

The resolution in question, ACR 7, was actually introduced in January. The one the Assembly passed is slightly different: if you carefully compare the original and amended versions you will find one notable difference: the amended version has deleted all the references to Sir Richard Branson made in the original version of the legislation. No reason for the change has been reported.

Civil aviation versus space

On Friday Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D-OH) appeared on a talk show on a Cleveland PBS station to discuss a variety of issues, including potential job cuts or even the closure of the NASA Glenn Research Center. (The official site of the show doesn’t have a transcript, but one is available here, oddly enough, at a site that appears to cater to European leftists; scroll towards the bottom for the section on Glenn.) During the interview Kucinich made an interesting comment:

Well, the administration has decided that it’s more important to go to the Moon and Mars and forget civil aviation in the United States, forgetting of course that the reason why we have a space program is because it came through the evolution of flight with civil aviation.

I think you can make a strong argument that the space program’s ties with civil aviation are pretty weak, at best: rocketry has been a very distinct field from aviation, and didn’t evolve from it.

In a related story, the Cleveland Plain Dealer reported Tuesday that a bipartisan coalition of Ohio politicians, which includes Kucinich, said they are willing to play what Rep. Steven LaTourette (R-OH) called the “Ohio card”: reminding President Bush that he is still president “because he won Ohio,” according to the article, in order to stave off cuts at Glenn.

Shuttle and ISS policy issues

There are a couple of articles in this week’s issue of The Space Review that deal with some of the thorny issues of shuttle and station. Dwayne Day examines the plans for the shuttle in its final years, noting that squeezing 28 flights by the end of 2010 may prove difficult, particularly with only three orbiters available. This could force NASA to make some hard choices about the shuttle and the ISS, including offloading some station missions onto other launchers (which may not help much to solve schedule problems), delay the 2010 retirement date, or cut short the assembly of ISS.

Meanwhile, Taylor Dinerman explores some of the consequences of the standoff between the US and Russia regarding ISS access. Is the US Congress willing to continue spending billions of dollars a year on a station that will have a limited US role in the years to come? On the other hand, will it be willing to allow Russia to effectively control the station after already spending tens of billions on it already? (Not surprisingly, this gets entangled with the future of the shuttle and its own issues described above.) In a related MSNBC article, Jim Oberg explores the current state of the “game of space chicken” between the US and Russia on US access to Soyuz after this year. Among other things, NASA is turning the tables on Roskosmos, planning to charge the Russians if they want to fly a cosmonaut on the STS-121 shuttle mission later this year.

Rutan on regulatory issues

Reason magazine has published an excellent interview with Burt Rutan that focuses squarely on regulatory issues involved with commercial human spaceflight. Rutan, as many readers know, is not a big fan of the FAA’s Office of Commercial Space Transportation, and has made it clear on a number of occasions that he would prefer to have vehicles like SpaceShipOne regulated as aircraft, through a certification process, rather than licensed like launch vehicles. (A view that puts him at odds with much of the rest of the nascent suborbital industry.) As Rutan puts it:

…we actually are asking for more regulation than the new legislation edicts. We do feel that the FAA needs to be accepting or proving the safety of the ship as it pertains to the passengers that get flown. Whereas their focus has been on only protecting the non-involved public who live on the ground below. We think that the industry will prosper only if there is some acceptance of [responsibility for] the safety of the ship as it pertains to the passengers.

Many industry advocates have argued that people should be allowed to take risks and fly in licensed vehicles to help open markets that promise to lower the cost of space access. Rutan doesn’t agree:

Now I don’t believe that it’s right to say, listen, we’ll let people take risks and we’ll go and build the kind of systems that have been used historically for manned space flight, and somehow solve the affordability problem, and that’s the only problem. We strongly feel that the biggest problem is the safety problem, not the affordability problem. If you fly dozens of people every day, you’ll get affordability with almost any kind of system. The safety problem is the biggie, and that’s why we think the most significant thing that came out of the SpaceShipOne program was not just showing that the little guy can fly above a hundred kilometers, without government assistance, and government technology, and government funds.

Rutan adds that although he disagrees with the current emphasis on the safety of the uninvolved public over passengers, he supports the other aspects of the Commercial Space Launch Amendments Act, although he would like more specifics for the experimental permit authority granted in the legislation “to force FAA to regulate these tests more like airplane research rather than like they did our program.” Be sure to read the whole interview: Rutan provides a number of interesting insights into regulatory issues, flight testing, and related matters.

Lunar exploration meeting

Over at RocketForge, Michael Mealling points out that NASA’s Robotic and Human Lunar Exploration Strategic Roadmap Committee, is holding a meeting yesterday and today at the University of Maryland on various scenarios for lunar exploration. It’s probably a little too late to attend unless you’re in the immediate area and have an open schedule today (although the meeting is open to the public), but it’s a chance to see how NASA and industry are examining exploration options that will doubtless shape NASA policy in the years to come.

Hubble makes for strange bedfellows

The Space Frontier Foundation and the Mars Society announced yesterday that they are jointly calling on NASA to mount a shuttle servicing mission to the Hubble Space Telescope. “The Hubble deserters’ embrace of irrational fear as a core ethic threatens a precedent that would preclude any future human accomplishments in space,” the Foundation’s spokesman, Rick Tumlinson, said in the statement. “Indeed, had such an ethic prevailed in our space program the past, we would never have been able to launch or repair Hubble, and the Apollo program would have been inconceivable. Should we embrace it now, the prospects for future human exploration of the Moon and Mars will decline to zero.” While the Space Frontier Foundation and the Mars Society have a lot in common—organizations with influence that goes beyond the relatively small sizes, featuring outspoken (and often polarizing) leaders—they usually have very different views on national space priorities, making joint statements like these relatively rare. (Although both organizations are members of the Space Exploration Alliance.)

Meanwhile, Congressman Steny Hoyer (D-MD) visited NASA Goddard yesterday and called on NASA to restore a robotic servicing mission to Hubble. Hoyer, whose district includes Goddard, said that the robotic servicing plan, dropped by NASA at the beginning of this year, “is a very important mission for us to continue and complete.” NASA associate administrator (and former Goddard director) Al Diaz, on the same tour, reiterated that “We don’t intend on servicing it, that’s where we are.” Hoyer, it should be noted, is the minority whip, the second-highest ranking Democrat in the House.

Protecting local turf, part 2

An AP article Monday discusses the influence two members of Congress from Alabama, Sen. Richard Shelby (R) and Rep. Bud Cramer (D), have on the NASA budget process. Shelby chairs the Senate Appropriations Committee’s Commerce, Justice, and Science subcommittee, which oversees NASA, while Cramer serves on respective subcommittee of the House Appropriations Committee.

Most of the article is how the two plan to use their influence to support NASA Marshall. The article notes that Cramer in particular “is prepared to take drastic actions if NASA’s leaders aren’t more forthcoming to the delegation”; Cramer also told the AP that he had a “difficult and not a very satisfying conversation” with Craig Steidle, NASA associate administrator for exploration systems, although the subject of that conversation wasn’t mentioned. Shelby and Cramer are apparently concerned about what Michael Griffin has planned for NASA, since many of “the assurances Cramer and Shelby had received about Marshall’s role had come from O’Keefe.”

The most curious passage of the article, though, might be this:

President Bush wants NASA to focus on sending astronauts to the moon and Mars. However, the agency has been mum on what kind of role Marshall would have in that program and whether it would come at the expense of other programs being done in Huntsville, including plans for an orbital space plane to transport astronauts to the space station.

Um, I hate to break it to Mr. McMurray, the AP reporter, but the Orbital Space Plane program was shut down last year, succeeded by the Crew Exploration Vehicle, which is certainly part of the Vision (although whether it will perform missions to ISS appears to still be uncertain.)

Protecting local turf, part 1

In an op-ed in Monday’s Hampton Roads Daily Press, Rep. Jo Ann David (R-VA) goes to bat for aeronautics programs at NASA Langley. She argues that these aeronautics programs are more important to the nation’s economy and security than the Vision for Space Exploration: “Aeronautics funding is a matter of national security, and last time I checked, the planet Mars was not an emerging threat to United States security.” Indeed, much of her argument centers around the aeronautics advances made by NASA that have benefited the military; if so, perhaps the DOD should be spending more money on aeronautics research itself?

Hubble, Mars, both, or neither

The Baltimore Sun published an editorial yesterday proclaiming its support for Michael Griffin as the next NASA administrator. However, the editorial also called on Griffin to put more emphasis on Hubble and less on Mars: “While he is on record backing the Bush plan to send humans as far away as Mars, we hope his reputed reasoned skepticism and grasp of the big picture also lead him to back the mission to repair the Hubble Space Telescope.” The editorial later notes that “Hubble’s data are real, meaningful and cost-effective, something the far-out Mars colonizing plans aren’t.”

Which takes us to The Mars Society, whose leadership clearly rejects the Sun’s either/or in favor of both repairing Hubble and going to Mars. Just as he did last year, Mars Society president Robert Zubrin has spoken out in favor of a shuttle servicing mission to the orbiting telescope. Zubrin’s essay covers a wide range of issues, from the relative risks of shuttle missions for Hubble vs. ISS to the technological readiness (or lack thereof) of a robotic repair mission to a claim that spending $300 million on a deorbit-only mission “amounts to the willful killing of roughly 100,000 people – mostly children.” (This is based on an estimate that one life was saved for every $3,000 spent on tsunami relief, and ignores the fact that a deorbit capability of some kind will need to be developed regardless of what servicing approach, if any, is chosen.)

Zubrin believes that “substantial” damage has been done to the Vision for Space Exploration by NASA’s reticence to repair Hubble. “[H]ow can Congress know that after they spend further tens of billions for human flight systems to the Moon and Mars, that the agency leadership won’t get cold feet again?” Zubrin asks. However, I have heard that Zubrin’s attention to Hubble has been a sore point among some Mars Society members, both last year and this, since they view the effort to save the telescope as a distraction to the society’s larger efforts to promote human exploration of Mars.

Albrecht on exploration and Griffin

Most of a Tuesday morning briefing by Mark Albrecht, president of International Launch Services, focused on the state of the commercial launch industry in general and ILS’ performance in particular. However, the conversation did drift to NASA’s exploration program. For that Albrecht could offer some unique insights: earlier in his career he served as executive secretary of the National Space Council during the Bush/Quayle administration, the last time the council existed in any meaningful form, and also during the last time the space agency and the White House were planning a bold exploration program.

Not surprisingly, Albrecht tried to sell the capabilities of the Atlas 5 (marketed by ILS) and potential evolved, more powerful variants of the rocket to carry out much of the exploration vision, although he admitted that these would never have the capability of a clean-sheet heavy-lift vehicle specifically designed to launch as much mass into orbit as possible. “My personal experience is that you tend to compromise and try to figure out what you can do with existing technologies to get the most capability out of it,” he said. He supported the provision in the new national space transportation policy that requires NASA and the Defense Department to work together on recommendations for heavy-lift launch capability. “I’ve been there, and you really don’t want to be sitting in your office in the White House designing space stuff.”

He also cautioned that schedule is a major concern for any launch vehicle or other large development program associated with the Vision. “One of the pressures in dealing with these kinds of exploration initiatives is that time moves at double time, and any part of the project that takes three or four or five years to show any progress is just tough.” He noted that Apollo is particularly remarkable in this respect because its big budgets survived in Congress for years during its development phase with little visible signs of progress. “That’s a tough trick in today’s environment, to have a program that’s going to take six years to really show something that the average Congressman or customer can go look at, and during those years sustain a really aggressive funding profile.”

Albrecht also seemed enthusiastic about the selection of Mike Griffin as NASA administrator, perhaps giving him one of the biggest compliments possible: “Mike Griffin wants to go.”