Congressional town hall meeting at JPL

Senator Sam Brownback and Congressman Dana Rohrabacher, the chairmen of the Senate and House subcommittees that oversee NASA, will jointly hold a town hall meeting Tuesday at 3 pm PDT (6 pm EDT) at JPL. The topic, as you might imagine, is the Vision for Space Exploration. For those not at the lab, the event will be webcast.

Light-speed legislation

A lot has been said of late of the very slow pace of activity in Congress, particularly in the Senate, where very little legislation, from space issues to budgets to judicial nominations, have been getting through. There are, though, exceptions to the rule, one of which is tangentially space-related. S.2315, with the descriptive title of “A bill to amend the Communications Satellite Act of 1962 to extend the deadline for the INTELSAT initial public offering”, was introduced by Sen. Conrad Burns of Montana on April 8. On April 27th the Senate approved the bill by unanimous consent, and referred to the House, which also passed the bill by unanimous consent on May 5. President Bush signed the bill into law on May 18, only 40 days after its introduction.

The bill amends an earlier law, the ORBIT Act, that set a deadline for satellite operator Intelsat, which was privatized several years ago, to conduct an initial public offering (IPO) of stock. The deadlines in the original act had been extended several times, and prior to the passage of S.2315 stood at June 30, 2004. The bill extends the deadline one year, with the option of another six-month extension to the end of 2005. Intelsat wasted little time taking advantage of the measure: three days after it was signed into law the company announced it was withdrawing a planned IPO it announced earlier in the year. That’s good news to Lockheed Martin, Intelsat’s largest shareholder, which backed the legislation, hoping that an extension would allow Intelsat to wait until the IPO markets were better, or could find a buyout offer that was a better deal.

Space policy at ISDC

Later this week at the 2004 International Space Development Conference, the annual conference of the National Space Society in Oklahoma City, there will be one track devoted to space policy issues. That track, scheduled for Friday, features a number of well-known speakers including Courtney Stadd, Dana Johnson, and Jeff Bingham. Randall Clague, government liaison for XCOR Aerospace, is also scheduled to talk about the status of “suborbital space flight legislation”, presumably HR 3752 and its status in the Senate. See the program tracks page for more details, although the conference web site only has speaker names and titles; no abstracts or more detailed descriptions.

More on HR 3752 concerns

A couple of notes to follow-up on this earlier posting about concerns regarding HR 3752. At the full COMSTAC meeting at FAA Headquarters on Thursday, Pete Worden, the retired Air Force general who is serving as a Congressional fellow in the office of Sen. Sam Brownback, discussed the status of the bill in the Senate. He said there is a lot of interest in it in the Senate, but those most willing to push the bill through are busy working now on NASA authorization legislation, which should be introduced in the next few weeks. He hinted at the concerns regarding what kinds of vehicles the bill covers, adding that one unnamed Senator has raised the issue, but seemed optimistic that those concerns could eventually be worked through.

On Friday I talked with an industry expert familiar with the status of HR 3752. While I had previously noted that the specific concern—that vehicles that “self ferry” under jet power might not be considered a suborbital rocket under the FAA definition—was not new, this source said that the specific concern had actually emerged relatively recently. Even though the definition in the legislation was publicly unveiled at the Space Access ’03 conference in April 2003, and published in the Federal Register six months later, Rocketplane Ltd. didn’t voice their concerns about the definition until February, after the bill had been reported out of the House Science Committee. It has also been difficult for those working to advance the bill to figure out exactly what Rocketplane thinks it needs to resolve the issue. Congressional staff working on the legislation are said to be willing to accommodate Rocketplane on the issue, at least to some degree. The longer it takes to resolve this, this source warned, the less likely the bill will pass this year.

A “silent majority” in favor of the exploration plan?

In the May issue of SpaceWatch, the newsletter of the Space Foundation, there’s an article by foundation president Elliot Pulham about public support for the new exploration plan. An excerpt:

…in survey upon survey over the past two decades we [the American public] have expressed overwhelming support for the nation’s civil space program. Nonetheless, our politicians remain narrowly focused on “mail box issues” — ignoring the silent majority of support for space exploration in favor of pandering to the much smaller audience of squeaky wheels — the letter writing vested interests who, although small in number, set the mailboxes of elected officials on fire if their benefit or entitlement is threatened.

This “squeaky wheel gets the grease” mindset has led to the all-too-familiar refrain on Capitol Hill, “I’m not getting any mail on that.” Well, duh. Americans are not likely to be whipped into a letter-writing frenzy over an issue that they regard as such an apple-pie no-brainer. The challenge is for elected officials to act as leaders of public opinion rather than followers of their mailbox.

This is an interesting argument, but I don’t know how valid it really it is. While public support of space exploration, in the broadest, most general terms, might be significant, that support tends to drop off as more details, particularly the cost of such plans, emerge. Polls ranging from a CBS/New York Times poll in January to one that focused on people living in only one part of upstate New York showed, at best, lukewarm support for the new plan based on the details available at the time. Proponents of the Vision for Space Exploration should be careful about assuming that a vast “silent majority” exists in support of the plan, and continue to sell the plan to the public as well as Congress.

HR 3752: a concern over definitions

At Wednesday afternoon’s meeting of the RLV Working Group of the Commercial Space Transportation Advisory Committee (COMSTAC) at FAA Headquarters, there was a spirited discussion among participants about the status and fate of HR 3752. At least one person present had concerns about the bill because of the language used in the bill to define suborbital rockets:

‘suborbital rocket’ means a rocket-propelled vehicle intended for flight on a suborbital trajectory whose thrust is greater than its lift for the majority of the powered portion of its flight.

While this covers a wide range of vehicles, from vertically-launched rockets to air-launched rocket-powered vehicles (like SpaceShipOne), there is a concern that it might exclude vehicles that take off under jet power, “self-ferry” some distance from the launch site using its jets, then fire its rocket engines for a suborbital flight. (An example is the XP from Rocketplane Ltd., formerly Pioneer Rocketplane.) Those vehicles might not strictly meet the definition because of their use of jet engines, and thus would either not be able to get a suborbital RLV license, or else would have to get both a launch license and an aviation certificate. Moreover, while suborbital RLVs can enter revenue service with a launch license, aircraft on experimental certificates cannot, thus requiring a potentially more expensive and time-consuming certification process.

This concern is not new, but has taken on added urgency for those most affected by it now that the bill has passed the House and is now sitting in the Senate. While others in the suborbital industry—as well as some FAA/AST officials—believe that this is not a big issue, and vehicles like the XP can get launch licenses, companies like Rocketplane Ltd. don’t want to be the test case for an ambiguous issue.

The obvious solution would be to change the definition of suborbital rockets in the Senate version of the legislation to make sure such borderline vehicles are clearly included. This, though, would make the Senate version different from the House version, requiring a conference committee to hash out the differences (assuming that the Senate does decide to accede to and accept HR 3752). However, in a year like this, with much bigger issues to contend with and the slow rate of legislative progress in the Senate, that could be fatal. As one attendee put it, “If this bill goes to conference, it will not happen this year.” That would mean starting all over again in the next Congress…

Suborbital days

Yesterday and today members of the Suborbital Insitutute, a trade association for the suborbital launch vehicle industry, have been on Capitol Hill lobbying for a number of legislative measures to benefit the industry. The talking points used for their meetings outline their areas of interest: getting HR 3752 passed in the Senate, export control relief, and full funding for the Office of Space Commerce within the Department of Commerce. Andrew Case, one of the participants in Monday’s efforts, summarizes his experiences over at Transterrestrial Musings.

I attended a lunch the institute organized Monday in the Rayburn House Office Building. Turnout was light, as many of the staffers who had been invited and even RSVPed to attend failed to show (perhaps given a busy day in the House, compounded by breaking events in Iraq); a similar luncheon last year was standing room only. During the lunch, though, Congressman Dana Rohrabacher, chairman of the House Science Committee’s space subcommittee, dropped by and spoke for a few minutes. He didn’t offer much in the way of insights, other than his description of the lack of action in the Senate on any legislation (not just HR 3752) as a “psychological phenomenon”.

Moon-Mars Blitz

That’s the name of a grassroots Congressional lobbying campaign planned by the Space Exploration Alliance in July, according to a National Space Society press release. The NSS had already planned a “legislative conference” for July 11-13, where society members would have met with Congressional staffers to discuss space issues; this conference will now be focused on getting NASA’s FY05 budget request fully funded so that the exploration program can get underway. The effort will be patterned after the long-running March Storm program by ProSpace (another member of the Alliance): one day of training for participants, followed by two days of lobbying on the Hill. (I have to admit, though, when I heard the term “Moon-Mars Blitz”, the first thing that came to mind was the song “Ballroom Blitz”, which in term conjured up memories of the movie “Wayne’s World”. Now I have a mental image of Wayne and Garth wandering the halls of Capitol Hill. Party on!)

Big labor takes a swipe at space exploration

The AFL-CIO, a federation of labor unions that represents 13 million workers, has unveiled a new web site, America’s Priorities, that criticizes President Bush’s proposed space exploration plan. The centerpiece of the site is a 30-second commercial that starts with a question: “What should America’s priorities be?” The spot then splices sound bites from Bush’s January 14 speech unveiling the plan with people on the street saying things like “jobs”, “health care”, and “help kids go to college.” Only one of these people seems critical of the proposal specifically: “A hundred billion dollars to send a man to Mars?” asks one woman. (At least she didn’t say it would cost a trillion dollars…) It then concludes with a woman saying, “His priorities are in the wrong place.”

There’s very little else on this site dealing with space policy, so it’s unclear whether the AFL-CIO is opposed to the proposed space initiative in particular, or space exploration in general. I’ll hopefully have some more details about this in the next few days.

In the Sunday papers

Sunday’s Houston Chronicle has a front-page article about the status of the Vision for Space Exploration. (As of this writing the web version of the article is poorly formatted; perhaps the Chronicle is trying to save money by cutting out white space.) The article is largely a straightforward accounting of the obstacles the plan faces, primarily in Congress. The article tries to compare the plan to the space station program, noting the various uphevals and cost overruns the station program has suffered in the last 20 years. “Is it going to be the space station all over again?” asks Ed Hudgins.

Speaking of the space station, the Los Angeles Times discusses the status and the fate of the ISS in Sunday’s edition. The article claims that the station “has begun to lose its reason for being” and thus support for the effort “has begun to waver again.” The article doesn’t do much to back up this assertion, other than quoting a few experts; most of the article discusses the history of the ISS. If NASA and the Administration are serious about cultivating international support for the exploration plan, it seems unlikely that they will drop support for the station.